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Economic Analysis of Tariff Reform in Egypt
Provides analysis for a practical action plan to implement a new round of tariff reform that is revenue neutral, minimizes transitory unemployment, and moves the economy towards better global competitiveness and rapid economic growth. The study covers sequencing and implementation issues and provides estimates of both macro and significant microeconomic impacts. The major components of the study are (a) a general dynamic macroeconomic model of the impact of tariff reform that forecasts the likely impact on overall economic activity, fiscal revenues, inflation, unemployment, balance of payment and the exchange rate; (b) a partial-equilibrium analysis at the product-specific level; (c) sector and industry specific analyses; and (d) economy-wide analysis using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. USAID/Egypt. October 2000